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AI-ing the Future: An Analysis of Past Treaty Features in Regulating Innovative Technologies

Tammera, Sophia
Abstract
This thesis examines the relationship between the specific features written into multilateral treaties and their success in regulating innovative technologies. It explores why detailed treaty provisions such as periodic reviews, trigger mechanisms, amendment provisions, and knowledge sharing are critical to the effectiveness of these international agreements. I argue that the presence of these features contributes significantly to a treaty's ability to adapt to changing circumstances, ensure transparency, and facilitate ongoing cooperation and collaboration among signatories. To test this claim, I completed an in-depth case study analysis of technologies like railroads, telegraphs, electricity, and nuclear weapons. The findings indicate that treaties incorporating these dynamic features are better equipped to prevent negative outcomes and promote positive advancements. Specifically, the analysis shows a correlation between these features and successful outcomes, as evidenced by their capacity to reduce human harm and minimize unfair gains among participating nations. This argument is significant because it suggests a blueprint for drafting future treaties that can effectively manage the complex challenges posed by rapid technological changes. The study's insights are instrumental for policymakers aiming to harness the benefits of global technological progress while mitigating its potential risks to humans.
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2024-05-01
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