Document Type
Article
Department/Program
Virginia Institute of Marine Science
Publication Date
2021
Journal
Environmental Modelling & Software
Volume
140
First Page
105036
Abstract
Daily real-time nowcasts (current conditions) and 2-day forecasts of environmental conditions in the Chesapeake Bay have been continuously available for 4 years. The forecasts use a 3-D hydrodynamic-biogeochemical model with 1–2 km resolution and 3-D output every 6 h that includes salinity, water temperature, pH, aragonite saturation state, alkalinity, dissolved oxygen, and hypoxic volume. Visualizations of the forecasts are available through a local institutional website (www.vims.edu/hypoxia) and the MARACOOS Oceans Map portal (https://oceansmap.maracoos.org/chesapeake-bay/). Modifications to real-time graphics on the local website are routinely made based on stakeholder input and are formatted for use on a mobile device. Continuous model input files were developed from daily real-time forecast input files, for hindcast simulations and efficient evaluation and improvement of the real-time model. This manuscript describes the setup of the environmental forecasting system, how the model accuracy has been improved, and the revision of online graphics based on stakeholder feedback.
DOI
doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105036
Keywords
Modeling Forecast, Chesapeake Bay, Hypoxia, Dead zone, Acidification
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Recommended Citation
Bever, Aaron; Friedrichs, Marjorie A.M.; and St-Laurent, Pierre, Real-time environmental forecasts of the Chesapeake Bay: Model setup, improvements, and online visualization (2021). Environmental Modelling & Software, 140, 105036.
doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105036
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