Document Type

Article

Department/Program

Virginia Institute of Marine Science

Publication Date

3-22-2022

Journal

Science Advances

Volume

8

Issue

8

First Page

eabl9155

Abstract

Tropical cyclones drive coastal ecosystem dynamics, and their frequency, intensity, and spatial distribution are pre-dicted to shift with climate change. Patterns of resistance and resilience were synthesized for 4138 ecosystem time series from n = 26 storms occurring between 1985 and 2018 in the Northern Hemisphere to predict how coastal ecosystems will respond to future disturbance regimes. Data were grouped by ecosystems (fresh water, salt water, terrestrial, and wetland) and response categories (biogeochemistry, hydrography, mobile biota, sedentary fauna, and vascular plants). We observed a repeated pattern of trade-offs between resistance and resilience across analyses. These patterns are likely the outcomes of evolutionary adaptation, they conform to disturbance theories, and they indicate that consistent rules may govern ecosystem susceptibility to tropical cyclones.

DOI

doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abl9155

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

sciadv.abl9155_sm.pdf (797 kB)
Supplementary Tables and Figures

sciadv.abl9155_data_s1_and_s2.zip (888 kB)
Supplementary Data

sciadv.abl9155_codes_s1_and_s2.zip (8 kB)
Supplementary Codes

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